Zhang Ling, Li Jun, Lu Quanjie, Qiu Yun, Zhuang Li, Chen Ping. Probabilistic method applied to the static evaluation of shale gas reserves[J]. PETROLEUM GEOLOGY & EXPERIMENT, 2016, 38(1): 141-146. doi: 10.11781/sysydz201601141
Citation: Zhang Ling, Li Jun, Lu Quanjie, Qiu Yun, Zhuang Li, Chen Ping. Probabilistic method applied to the static evaluation of shale gas reserves[J]. PETROLEUM GEOLOGY & EXPERIMENT, 2016, 38(1): 141-146. doi: 10.11781/sysydz201601141

Probabilistic method applied to the static evaluation of shale gas reserves

doi: 10.11781/sysydz201601141
  • Received Date: 2015-01-14
  • Rev Recd Date: 2015-12-11
  • Publish Date: 2016-01-28
  • Shale gas is abundant in widespread continuous organic shale with low porosity and ultra-low permeability.Commercial production is possible after horizontal well fracturing. The above characteristics limit geological understanding, and result in a high uncertainty for reservoir parameters and reserve calculations.We propose a quantitative evaluation method to resolve the uncertainties through a static evaluation model and expectation curve analysis by using a probabilistic method. It offers a better solution for reserve parameters and reserve calculations, and provides a reference method for reserve evaluation, exploration planning and development, and shale gas production.

     

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